Durban Conference Dims Environment Prospects, by Ambassador mo
Posted on at
Since the relative lack of success of the Copenhagen Conference a couple of years earlier, the prospects for Durban appear no less promising as climate change discussions officially get underway in South Africa. The global economic environment is no more favorable, and in fact biggest supporters of more progressive steps (EU nations) are facing a generational financial struggle. The evidence of further climate change consequences and harm are mounting to irrefutable levels, but the countries/peoples most affected generally carry the weakest political/diplomatic and economic leverage. Read for a considerably more comprehensive picture of current data and resources – “Extreme Weather the New Trend” - diplomaticcareer.com/films/blog_post/extreme-weather-the-new-trend-by-ambassador-mo/41926 Concrete/Binding Goals Sought: Most countries, particularly the poorer and more vulnerable, are seeking an elusive commitment from all to 2015 binding limits designed to bring about the so-called “2^” goal – keeping global temperatures from rising no more. I fear that this previously established goal, apparently agreed by most if not all, is in real danger of not being reached. BRICS another Disappointment? The greatest obstacle to progress in tackling the new challenges and meeting already established goals appears to be an unholy alliance of the richest developed states, particularly the US and some of the fastest growing, as India, Brazil and China. The so-called BRICS has brought together members (Brazil, Russia, India, China and most recently South Africa) in coordination in the economic/commerce sphere. However, BRICS have also looked to put together a diplomatic/political alliance to counter perceived US dominance particularly within the UN Security Council. However, on climate change and the environment the US and BRICS are wearing the same or at least similar charred uniform. Read – “What Objective of the BRICS” - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/films/blog_post/what-objectives-of-the-brics-by-ambassador-mo/27275 . The champions of the environment are in disarray. The NGO’s are still there; however, the sovereigns who might be more pro-active on climate change are pre-absorbed with other perceived priorities. Some of the most affected countries, as Bangladesh, are refocusing precious resources on mitigation and relief as much as preventive – a pragmatic step to address what they can do. Read: “Bangladesh on Climate Change & Disaster” - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/films/blog_post/bangladesh-lessons-on-climate-change-disaster-by-ambassador-mo/41773 Methodology of Accountability Over Evasion of Responsibility: The expectations for Durban have been watered down to point of the absurd in some views. Undoubtedly the conference will nonetheless conclude with optimistic statements of progress – in large part to provide cover for the obstructionists. The lesson of Copenhagen though from two years earlier may be to grasp all functionally beneficial measures/agreements, but also do not give cover to failure and the policies/governments responsible. Durban must establish the basis for a rejuvenated methodology of accountability. By Ambassador Muhamed Sacirbey Facebook – Become a Fan at “Diplomatically Incorrect” Twitter – Follow us at DiplomaticallyX More at “Ecology-Diplomat” Channel - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/c/ecology-diplomat