---"Saif is perhaps even more dangerous than his father – he carries in some people’s eyes the legitimacy and fresh face without the staleness of the Colonel’s eccentricities and rhetoric. Now, he can also effectively employ the “martyrdom” of his father,"--- Saif-al Islam, Gaddafi’s son and heir apparently has contacts with ICC Prosecutor about turning himself in. However, think it is more an insurance by Saif not to end up executed by a mob like his father or perhaps locked up indefinitely by a neighboring state. Saif probably has enough money, loyal followers and contacts in the shadowy world of terror and insurgency to try to launch his own counter-revolution. Saif also was the heir apparent to Colonel Gaddafi’s political crown. He was viewed at times as potential reformer during his father’s rule only to end up the staunchest defender of that regime. Saif has the mindset of a political survivor and the motivation, and I do not see him as willing defendant, even if it might provide a platform to also defend the legacy of his father/family’s rule. Saif is more likely to take his fight from the bushes or more accurately sand dunes of southern Libya.(Too bad for Saif Venezuela and Hugo Chavez are not next door rather than different continent) Remnants of Gaddafi Regime, Wealth & Influence: Colonel Gaddafi’s regime may have been feared, even despised by most Libyans, but others benefited and enjoyed a better status. My guess is that Saif has access to enough wealth and weapons, (despite the UN asset freeze and arms embargo to launch at least a low grade insurgency, probably in the vast deserts of Libya). That is also one of the reasons as why the new Libyan authorities did NOT WANT NATO to end its mission in Libya yet. From the outset, we were one of the first to outline US and NATO strategy under Resolution 1973 as “regime change” behind veneer of protecting civilians. (FROM March 18, 2011 “Declaration of War Against Gaddafi” - ---“Whatever analysts may want to read into this Resolution to define limitations that it may impose on this anti-Gaddafi alliance, this Alliance will in fact interpret Resolution 1973 as it feels necessary to get the job done, to get rid of Gaddafi and certainly not just to enforce the no-fly zone or to protect civilians.” --- READ Full Text of ARTICLE - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/films/blog_post/declaration-of-war-on-gaddafi-no-fly-zone-resolution-on-libya-by-ambassador-mo/25752 ). It is unlikely that the Libyan opposition then would have survived or prevailed in the face of Colonel Gaddafi’s highly superior firepower, mercenaries and brutality. Colonel Muammar Gaddafi More Dangerous as Martyr than Failed Libyan Leader/Revolutionary: The National Transitional Council wants to move toward a quick return to normalization, oil production and elections. As long as Saif is free, that may be subject to disruption, in fact likely. Saif is perhaps even more dangerous than his father – he carries in some people’s eyes the legitimacy and fresh face without the staleness of the Colonel’s eccentricities and rhetoric. Now, he can also effectively employ the “martyrdom” of his father, (and brother Mutassim), and the rather unfortunate manner of his father’s death especially before a court of law could yield history’s final judgment. (READ – “Does Manner of Gaddafi’s Killing Matter?” - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/films/blog_post/does-manner-of-gaddafis-killing-matter-by-ambassador-mo/37685). That is the major reason why the new Libyan authorities, Washington, London Paris and NATO allies as well as the ICC (International Criminal Court) Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo want Saif. What makes the job even more complex for Ocampo is that most countries in region are not parties to the Rome Statue and the ICC. The precedent of ICC indicted Sudan leader Bashir moving freely across borders in Africa is only more likely to facilitate Saif some greater sense of confidence, at least as far as ICC arrest is concerned. (Recall that Saif has been indicted by ICC – See FILM REPORT - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/films/movie/gaddafi-arrest-warrant-icc-prosecutor/26959 ). Saif as Insurgency Leader/Symbol & Commodity with Price on Head: Saif will have to continue to worry about NATO and allies. Although NATO no longer has a military mandate under UN resolution, the new Libyan authorities, now having assumed the mantle of legitimacy, and will seek bilateral arrangements to secure NATO assistance, as may be necessary. Rather than the ICC, that is Saif’s biggest worry now, along with the always-possible betrayal by subordinate or sell-out by regional ally.That is why Saif is sending messages to the ICC, as a possible life insurance policy. Saif is both symbol of a still virulent regime but also a commodity with the price on his head that is likely to continue to rise. By Ambassador Muhamed Sacirbey Facebook – Become a Fan at “Diplomatically Incorrect” Twitter – Follow us at DiplomaticallyX “War Crimes Justice” Channel - diplomaticallyincorrect.org/c/war-crimes-justice