The weight of the world and the election polls seems to be on his shoulders. His posture is worse than mine. I know the feeling. The responsibility of trying to prevent and counter attack upon the country that I represented and particularly the ethnic cleansing being committed against the Bosnian/Herzegovinian population was at times crushing, physically and psychologically. My ability to change the outcome was limited and part of a much larger dynamic, but it did not make loss of any individual life somehow easier to accept. However, my assessment is that much of President Barak Obama’s pain is self-inflicted. (Photo from recent Politico article on support for President Obama). By trying to play it in the middle, he has lost many in his base and gained very few voters in the center or right. More so, he has come across as unwilling to take the fight to the other side. He has become a soft target. (His latest job initiative and combative demand that Congress pass his jobs bill “right away” has come perhaps too late for many of his fellow democrats and those who voted for him last time around). Every US President must be that for all Americans. However, it is inevitably true that by the nature of US politics and a very diverse electorate many will vote against you no matter what you do, and that is especially the case for Barak Hussein Obama. Even when they applauded his killing of Osama Bin Laden, it was not going to be translated into votes. Approximately 20% think he is either too Black or Muslim to get their vote. (That number could be as high as 30% with open and frequently proud of their bias but others satisfied to keep it in the closet). Killing Osama did not change their prejudices about Obama. Another 20% will vote against him with integrity purely on the basis of party loyalty. That means Obama has only a hope of getting 60% at most of those eligible to vote. However, it is important to remind that US elections generally do not garner much more than half the potential electorate. Consequently it is important to not only hold onto your base, but make certain that these voters actually do turn out to vote on election day. Republican candidates have learned this secret to electoral victory. They make certain that they secure the 30% of the potential voters actually needed to elect the US President. Last time around Obama’s presumed base came out to give him victory expecting not only change, but more. Obama presented the image of a fighter who would be in their corner regardless. He has disappointed many, and much of his base may not be there, in his corner, in the November 2012 election. They will also not vote for the Republican nominee no matter what. They may instead cast their vote in protest for some small party candidate, as a Ralp Nader. Most dangerous for Obama, they may express their displeasure by not voting at all. By Ambassador Muhamed Sacirbey



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